National Hurricane Center Projected Path and Effects of Tropical Depression Grace on Monday, August 16, 2021 at 4PM CST

By | August 16, 2021
 
At 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Depression Grace was located about 50 miles (80 km) south of Port Au Prince, Haiti.
 
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
 
A west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next few days.
 
On the forecast track, the center of Grace will move near the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti through tonight, move between Jamaica and southeastern Cuba on Tuesday, near the Cayman Islands Tuesday night, and approach the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Wednesday and Wednesday night.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Southern coast of the Cuban provinces of Santiago de Cuba, Granma, Las Tunas, and Camaguey
* Cayman Islands
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Entire coast of Haiti
* Jamaica
* Southern coast of the Cuban provinces of Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, and Matanzas, as well as Isla de la Juventud.
 
Tropical storm conditions are possible in Haiti this evening into tonight, and in Jamaica on Tuesday.
 
Tropical storm conditions are expected along the southern coast of Cuba within the warning area on Tuesday, and over the Cayman Islands beginning late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
 
Tropical storm conditions are possible along the southern coast of Cuba within the watch area Tuesday night and Wednesday.
 
Interests elsewhere in Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of Grace. Additional watches or warnings are possible tonight or on Tuesday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
Strengthening is forecast to occur during the next few days, and Grace is expected to regain tropical storm status on Tuesday.
 
Grace could be near hurricane strength when it approaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Wednesday night.
 
Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts:
 
Over Haiti and the Dominican Republic, 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches are expected across the southern terrain areas through Tuesday. This heavy rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding, and possible mudslides.
 
Over far southern Cuba, Jamaica, and the Cayman Islands, 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches are expected through Thursday. This heavy rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding.
 
The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 p.m. EDT with an intermediate advisory at 8 p.m. EDT.