National Hurricane Center Continues to Watch Three Areas of Disturbed Weather

The first is a broad area of low pressure that’s expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days from a tropical wave currently located over the central Caribbean Sea.

 

Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of the low if it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the system moves northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.

 

It has a low (20 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a medium (60 percent) chance during the next five days.

 

The second is a broad trough of low pressure that’s producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic about 1000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

 

Little development of this system is expected during the next day or two due to unfavorable upper-level winds.

 

Afterwards, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system turns eastward over the central Atlantic. It has a low (20 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) chance during the next five days.

 

The third is a tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms.

 

Some development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by the weekend.

 

It has a low (20 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (30 percent) chance during the next five days.