Wednesday – Strong to severe storms and heavy rainfall are still likely. Isolated damaging wind gusts and hail up to 1 inch are possible, mainly west of a line from Port St. Joe to Bainbridge to Albany and Leesburg where a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) exists for severe weather.
Localized flooding may occur as well, especially where storms may move over the same locations over a brief period of time.
Thursday – The potential for isolated severe thunderstorms continues ahead of a cold front, mainly along and northeast of a line from Port St. Joe to Tifton where a Marginal Risk is in place. Main threats are damaging winds, hail, and a brief tornado or two.
There is also an increased threat for flash flooding, particularly for the FL Panhandle, southeast AL, and portions of adjacent southwest GA where a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) exists for excessive rainfall.
Overview:
A moist and unstable airmass ahead of a cold front will continue to support a strong to severe thunderstorm and heavy rainfall threat for the next 2-3 days. Storms could occur at any time, but the best potential for severe weather is late morning into the evening. For Wednesday, clusters of showers and storms look to impact mainly the Central Time Zone counties before diminishing tonight. As the cold front encroaches on the Tri-state area on Thursday, the severe and heavy rainfall threat expands in coverage.
The threat for flash flooding increases, in addition to more favorable conditions for a brief tornado or two. Secondary threats are frequent lightning, and a high risk of rip currents at all local beaches from strong southerly flow. Please see the attached 1-page PDF for more information.
