At 8AM on Tuesday, June 28, 2022, this poorly defined disturbance was about 330 miles (530 km) east of Trinidad.
The system is moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h) and a westward or west-northwestward motion is expected through Thursday.
On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward Islands by tonight and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is forecast during the next few days if the disturbance remains over water.
Conditions appear conducive for development if the disturbance remains over water, and it will likely become a tropical storm near the southern Windward Islands or while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea.
It has a high (70 percent) chance of formation through 48 hours and a high (90 percent) chance in the next 5 days.