At 8AM EDT on Thursday, July 30, 2022, the disturbance was about 710 miles (1140 km) east of Bluefields, Nicaragua.
The system is moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this fast motion is expected to continue through tonight.
Some decrease in forward speed with a continued motion toward the west is forecast on Friday and Saturday.
On the forecast track, the system will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea today through Friday, cross southern Nicaragua or northern Costa Rica Friday night, and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast through Friday while the system approaches Central America.
Weakening is expected while the system crosses Central America, but strengthening is forecast on Saturday once it moves over the Pacific Ocean.
Conditions appear conducive for development, and the disturbance is expected become a tropical storm while slowing down over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) to the north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation through the next 48 hours and in the next 5 days.
