On Wednesday, July 13, 2022, a surface trough extending from the Florida Panhandle west-southwestward along the northern Gulf coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Gulf of Mexico and adjacent land areas.
The surface trough is forecast to drift northward over land during the next few days and significant tropical development is not anticipated.
Regardless of development, heavy rains will pose a risk of flash flooding along portions of the northern Gulf coast from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle over the next several days.
For more information about the potential for heavy rain and flooding, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and the Weather Prediction Center.
It has a near-zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 5 days.