On Sunday, August 28, 2022, a broad and elongated area of low pressure is located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat since yesterday, it currently lacks organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while moving toward the west and then west-northwest at around 10 mph, toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
It has a low (30 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) chance in the next 5 days.
In the central Atlantic, a small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce occasional, disorganized shower activity.
Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it meanders over the central Atlantic during the next few days, and the low is likely to dissipate by midweek.
It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 5 days.
In the northwestern Caribbean Sea, a trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle part of this week.
Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance in the next 5 days.
In the eastern tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa Monday or Monday night.
Some gradual development of the system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance in the next 5 days.
