Two subtropical lows in the Atlantic will stay there.
Still waiting on the setup for low development in the Caribbean or Gulf next week. Models have locked into a broad low forming and working to the north and west into next weekend.
The model spread aka where lows could be is massive even shortly after the low starts to develop. This means we know a large low will form and we know there are a range of outcomes from impactful to little impacts at all. The overall consensus now is for a low by Tuesday or Wednesday of next week so slower to develop.
Any potential for a storm is like next Friday or weekend unless this system can consolidate quickly and that seems unlikely. Continue to keep up with the forecast and make sure you’re ready just in case.
This is per NHC ”Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico through the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.”
