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Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) of Severe Thunderstorms Over Tri-State Region on Friday, January 31, 2-025

Posted on January 31, 2025

There is still a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) of severe thunderstorms over portions of the Tri-State region today. The main threats are:

  • Isolated damaging wind gusts
  • A brief tornado could occur

Changes since Briefing #2:

  • There has been almost no change in the forecast risk level or coverage area. 
  • Timing appears to be about 2-3 hours slower (later) than was being advertised yesterday morning. 

Overview:

A weakening cold front will move from northwest to southeast across the region today and tonight. In advance of the front, a line of showers and embedded strong thunderstorms will cross the region. The strongest thunderstorms have potential to bring isolated damaging wind gusts, and a brief tornado could occur. 

The most favorable environment will come this afternoon over inland areas, where the best afternoon heating and least questionable instability will come. 

Showers and non-severe thunderstorms will continue east this evening through the light green-shaded General Thunder area over the Florida Big Bend region and the I-75 corridor. However, the attached timing graphic is mainly focused on time windows when severe storms are possible.

General Thunder area over the Florida Big Bend region and the I-75 corridor. However, the attached timing graphic is mainly focused on time windows when severe storms are possible.

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