We continue to monitor the potential for wintry precipitation late Saturday night through early Sunday morning. There remain large uncertainties in the amount of moisture available and if temperatures will be supportive of a rain/wintry mix or snow.
A couple plausible scenarios are listed below:
1) dry air and the strong cold front moves in quickly overnight Saturday night, limiting overall moisture availability and keeping any wintry precipitation limited to a gee whiz sighting at best.
2) Warm, moist air hangs in longer across the area with onset of precipitation being earlier than anticipated. This would lead to mostly rain before temperatures cool enough to transition us over to a wintry mix or snow towards the end of the event. For now, this is the most likely scenario.
There are scenarios in-between the two provided above, however even with the most ideal overlap of cold air and moisture we would be looking at a low-end event with any snow accumulations limited to elevated surfaces generally less than a half inch confined mostly east of the I-65 corridor.
